May 5th, 2005
|04:43 pm - Do us a favour?|
Am back from two fantastic weeks with my increasingly wonderful girlfriend in Atlanta and Boston. It was tremendous fun and I miss her massively already, but more of that another time.
The General Election in the UK tonight looks to be satisfyingly mysterious. Labour might do almost as well as last time, but there are still some commentators who think that even a working Labour majority isn't a foregone conclusion; undyingking's Election Predictor is very interesting but may be suffering from many of the predictions being fairly old, but I suggest this thread is as good a place as any to start a prediction competition. Reply with your estimated majority as a comment and we'll see if any of us get close. Less credit for guesses made with the benefit of exit polls and/or actual results.
If you were thinking of not voting, would you do us a favour? Go to the polling station and gloriously, spectacularly spoil your ballot paper, please. Write or draw something remarkable on the ballot paper - maybe "NONE OF THE ABOVE", maybe something much less mundane - and give the returning officer and the election system a piece of your mind. You'll feel much better about it than if you do nothing at all.
Current Mood: tired
I predict, as uneditable comments are my witness, a Labour majority of 99.
Lab majority under 30 - let's say 24 for preciseness.
The cynic in me wants to revise that to 74 but never mind. I am hitting Post Comment now
I'b sorry, I hab a code.
Prediction: Labour majority of 110.
From what I've been hearing on my side of the pond, a Labour majority of about 65 sounds reasonable, with both Labour and Conservative losing somewhat to the LibDems.
However, if Robert Kilroy-Silk kills and eats Michael Howard, then the BNP will start a riot and the LibDems will take the majority by about 300.
My prediction has the benefit of consistency.
Labour overall majority: 22.
Do remember, the final result won't be out until next month.
I predict Labour majority of about 120.
I predict spoiling your ballot paper will have the returners thinking "meh, idiot" than "wow! I am taken aback by this steadfast attack on the nature of politics!" to be honest wit' you, Mr D.
I'll go for a 90 seat Labour majority.
Too late. I voted properly. Ah well.
may be suffering from many of the predictions being fairly old
It is indeed :-( Ideally I would have had a financial incentive for people to update their predictions as time went on, to protect their stake.
FWIW my own current prediction is 100.
I predict a Labour majority of 64 - I was going to say 74, but somebody wanted that, so I thought I'd reduce their majority a bit.
predicted 65. We'll not know the true figure for some time due to the postponed election, but you two can award yourself significant smugness.
Just elect people who might do something to counter our theocracy over in the USA =-\
*shakes head sadly*
I don't know who could be elected to do that.
I wouldn't spoil my vote if I didn't intend to vote on anyone....if I couldn't support any candidate, I'd vote for the Official Monster Raving Loony Party! :-P
Our school had a mock General Election in 1992, with the three big candidates and a Green. I grandly titled myself Official Psephologist for the election, but my involvement stretched (I think) to one poxy opinion poll. (At least I used stratified sampling, though.) I treasure the fact that there was one ballot paper with a write-on vote for the OMRLP.