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Long-shot Prediction Game: quick update - Many a mickle maks a muckle

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October 8th, 2008


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11:19 pm - Long-shot Prediction Game: quick update

This is good enough proof as far as I'm concerned that the BBC Global 30 did indeed drop below 4750 for two periods at around 8am GMT today, even though the "52-week low" figure quoted may only represent the lowest daily closing figure. (Which is odd, as being an international index, there's almost always at least one market open on which a BBC Global 30 stock may trade.) Possibly that is as low as it might go, but there might be further to fall yet. Accordingly, the long-shot that "BBC Global 30 stock market index to drop below 4750" has been proved true. (And, yes, I normally do use Firefox, honest. Trouble is, my Firefox currently has 214 tabs open, so isn't the most suitable thing from which to take a grab...)

The Beijing 2008 web site medal table seems to be as authoritative a source as I can imagine for medals won at the Olympic Games in Beijing. Accordingly, the long-shot that picked "the USA to win at least one more gold medal than any other single country at the Beijing Olympics" has been proved false.

Considering the National Hurricane Centre as definitive authorities on the matter, their monthly reports for July confirms Hurricane Bertha was a category three major hurricane, August confirms Hurricane Gustav was a category four major hurricane and Septmeber confirms Hurricane Ike was a category three major hurricane. Accordingly, the long-shot that "there will be no more than two major hurricanes (category 3+) in the 2008 Atlantic Hurricane season" has been proved false.

quintus_marcius is the early leader, being the sole predictor to suggest both "BBC Global 30 stock market index to drop below 4750" would be true and "the USA to win at least one more gold medal than any other single country at the Beijing Olympics" would be false, but his lead is not massive as he incorrectly went for the "there will be no more than two major hurricanes (category 3+) in the 2008 Atlantic Hurricane season" long-shot. More to come over the following months!
Current Mood: indescribableboth hopeful and very scared

(3 comments | Leave a comment)

Comments:


[User Picture]
From:undyingking
Date:October 9th, 2008 09:23 am (UTC)
(Link)
You need Fireshot, the FF extension that lets you grab just the visible chunk of page (and immediately crop it further should you need to), without all the gubbins.
[User Picture]
From:hedwig_snowy
Date:October 9th, 2008 03:07 pm (UTC)
(Link)
Well....if I could remember how I voted, I'd know how far behind I was.... Where's the player graph/chart for that? We want stats!!! Hourly!!!
[User Picture]
From:imc
Date:October 10th, 2008 09:38 am (UTC)
(Link)
Blimey, it's gone to a low of about 4480 this morning. I bet you wouldn't have had many takers for that long-shot if you'd said 4500 instead of 4750.

I am doing appallingly. Given the Harry Potter fiasco, I have now scored one out of four. Mind you, I'm going to get the rest of them correct…

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