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December 12th, 2002


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02:23 pm - Prediction puddle
That Sotheby's auction begins in less than ten minutes; The Leaky Cauldron point out that lot 517, the OotP card, is expected to come up at some point between 5pm and 6pm. (I shall have to check to see whether Sotheby's broadcast the proceedings of their auctions in real time over the Internet. Doubt it, else we'd know by now, but it would be nice.) I estimate that the Leaky, Inc. appeal will permit them to bid up to about US $17,000 (or about GBP 11,000) and I wouldn't be too surprised if there is a bizarre twist in the tale and Lizo Mzimba and the BBC crew in attendance madly add another GBP 5,000 or so to the bid. However, I would expect the actual auction price to be at least GBP 20,000-25,000 and so I would bet against Leaky, Inc. winning the card. We shall see. (Probably on Newsround at 5:25pm tonight, which you should be able to watch on the web.)

What happens next? Bidders' identities are secret, but we might get some well-placed leaks concerning the winners' identity in a few days and I dare say that at least half of the 93 words will become known eventually. I also expect nice letters to Leaky, Inc. from Book Aid International and JKR herself, probably with some words or facts in. For now, we just get on with the rest of our lives. Only another three hours or so to go. Tum-te-tum...

As ever, I would be dearly happy to be proved wrong on this one and hope that we're bathing in OotP-related speculation very soon. Humble pie on standby.

Would have been more fun if the OotP card had been lot number 713, wouldn't it?
Current Mood: hopeful but not confident

(11 comments | Leave a comment)

Comments:


[User Picture]
From:ericklendl
Date:December 12th, 2002 06:54 am (UTC)

Good old Google

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I'd momentarily forgotten the significance of 713, so did a search for 713 Harry Potter (or possibly Harry Potter 713). Shortly before the more informative hits, came this Public Health Warning.

My glasses obviously need cleaning, as at first I read the key word as sheep. Hmmm.
[User Picture]
From:jiggery_pokery
Date:December 12th, 2002 07:52 am (UTC)

Re: Good old Google

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"Good old Google" could apply to virtually every LJ entry. Ever.

I do like the PHW you found - an unusual and unexpected connection between HP and 713. I was rather expecting the satirists to cruelly recommend HP&GoF as a tool to help people get to sleep, but never mind.

It does raise serious questions about what's going to happen when OotP is eventually released. The number of pre-booked holidays (and un-booked unannounced sick days) for that particular day is likely to have a similar effect on the productivity of the country to an England match. Maybe it'll get released on a Saturday again, or something.
[User Picture]
From:picklepuss
Date:December 12th, 2002 07:26 am (UTC)
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I feel unbelievably stupid for not knowing the significance of 713.

Is there some sort of standard penance? Do I have to watch Thunderpants continuously for a full day? Or what about Great Expectations? That one's probably a little more fitting. Cause you know those Thunderpants don't fit. Ahahahaha. Hoohoohoo. I hate myself.

I Do you ever use the spell check before you post? I'm very pleased to report that Thunderpants isn't in the dictionary but Th-underpants is.

[User Picture]
From:jiggery_pokery
Date:December 12th, 2002 07:54 am (UTC)
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No, I had to check it was vault number 713 myself. :-)

Never seen Thunderpants, but it's actually meant to be quite good - or, at least, quite good modulo the premise.

Perhaps it might be appropriate under the circumstances if the standard penance were a wedgie...
[User Picture]
From:picklepuss
Date:December 12th, 2002 08:19 am (UTC)

Re:

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I am in complete awe that you used modulo in a sentence.

I stand for no man's wedgie. I took many oaths in my youth, not the least of which was:
"And I will let no person reach into my trousers for any reason other than what I intend. The waistband of my unmentionables is mine and mine alone and shall never be seperated from the fabric of my shorts until it wears away of its own volition. On that day of days, I shall venture forth into the department store and buy 1 package conataining 3 new pairs of skivvies. No more, no less. Thus is the cycle as it has been fro generations before and shall be for generations hence."

And it goes on and on like that.
[User Picture]
From:jiggery_pokery
Date:December 12th, 2002 08:32 am (UTC)
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At this juncture we have reached the point of Quite Enough Information Already, Thank You, and to continue along this line might demonstrate that it is indeed quite possible to have too much of a good thing.

Incidentally, you do know about the option which logs IP addresses, don't you? This would help you identify the - er - identity of your anonymous posters of Nyeah and would at least confirm that they weren't me.
[User Picture]
From:picklepuss
Date:December 12th, 2002 08:38 am (UTC)

Re:

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Sadly I'm quite aware who my benevolent fan is.

Mom's always been a bit mean spirited.
[User Picture]
From:ericklendl
Date:December 12th, 2002 08:19 am (UTC)

This may be cause for increased optimism...

(Link)
The price of a first edition HPatPS is less than you might think. It'll be interesting to see how that compares with the price of the unique (but rather more cryptic) card.
[User Picture]
From:jiggery_pokery
Date:December 12th, 2002 08:37 am (UTC)

Heidi sez:

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"fuck. we lost. winning bid was pushing $40,000 - and we raised $24,000 - which is damned impressive, but wasn't enough. But now, over $50,000 will go to charity, between the winning bid and our donation."

Ouch. :-(

Still, we tried our hardest. Let's see if the "What happens next?" turns out to be accurate too.
[User Picture]
From:ericklendl
Date:December 12th, 2002 08:42 am (UTC)

Re: Heidi sez:

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Dammit, I wish I'd dug deep and chipped in that extra $16,000 now.

Good grief. Who on earth... I mean, who on earth...?
[User Picture]
From:picklepuss
Date:December 12th, 2002 08:59 am (UTC)

Re: Heidi sez:

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$40,000 for an INDEX CARD! I wipe my butt with $100 bills and that's too much for me. Will we ever see all those words - aside from next fall of course?

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